Data Analysis Technology for the Audit Community

 

The Ottawa Sun 

Copyright (c) 2002, Sun Media Corporation

 

SUN STAIRWAY TO SUPER 7 HEAVEN 

Monday, May 13, 2002 

Tag: 0205130101

 Edition: Final 

Section: News 

Length: 44 lines 

Page: 10 

BY A.J. BLAUER, OTTAWA SUN 

Pssssst. Want a hot number for Friday's $34-million Super 7 draw? Try combining the year of your birth with the last two digits of your social insurance number and the single digit of your IQ: You're guaranteed a one in 62,891,499 chance of winning the jackpot! 

The odds aren't great, but that's not stopping thousands of people from dreaming big. Chances are, however, Mark Nigrini doesn't figure into those dreams. 

The internationally celebrated data sleuth and accounting professor from Southern Methodist University in Dallas knows his numbers and he says the 7/47 lottery scheme doesn't offer much hope even if it does give you three sets of numbers for $2. 

Although Nigrini would never play the lottery himself, he offers some practical advice:

 - Rule No. 1: Any group of seven numbers has the same probability of winning. That means that you're just as likely to win with the number combination 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7 as you are with any other combination. But don't mark your ticket just yet ... 

- Rule No. 2: People use low numbers far more than they use high numbers. "My suggestion is to pick all the numbers larger than 35," Nigrini said. "It doesn't change the odds of winning, but it does change the odds of sharing." 

- Rule No. 3: Don't play patterns on your scorecard. "People think that they're the only ones that do that," Nigrini said. Again, you increase your odds of sharing a jackpot.

- Rule No. 4: Don't take one number from each row on the scorecard. Nigrini said about one in every two winning combinations has two consecutive numbers. If you take a number from each row, you're almost guaranteeing yourself a zero chance at every second draw. 

- Rule No. 5: Pick numbers that use less paint. "A ball with a '1' painted on it would be lighter than a ball with a '47' on it," Nigrini muses. 

Though statistically insignificant, this strategy is more credible than any "system" sold to increase an individual's odds at winning the lottery, Nigrini said.

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Ottawa Sun News is here:

http://www.canoe.ca/OttawaNews/os.os-05-13-0013.html

 

 

Mark J. Nigrini Ph.D.
606 Rockcrossing Lane, Allen, Texas 75002
Tel: (972) 359-0020  E-mail: mark_nigrini at msn dot com